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U.S. stocks fell as investors braced for major retail earnings while rising oil prices and geopolitical तनाव from the U.S.-Iran standoff added to risk-off sentiment.

Markets may move on a mix of earnings, oil prices, and major stock-news catalysts in the next session.
AI-driven productivity gains are expected to favor certain stocks, according to Goldman Sachs.
A small-cap ETF has reached a new high, helped by portfolio companies that hold strong cash positions.
Some memory-chip stocks are breaking through important technical levels, per Katie Stockton.
Refiner stocks have had an unusually strong rally, but historical patterns suggest the run may be nearing an end.
Retail earnings and oil price trends are key items on NYSE insider Jay Woods’ watchlist this week.
Prediction markets show only about a 25% chance that Paramount’s bid for Warner Bros. will fail.
Stanley Druckenmiller bought more Amazon and chip stocks before the market’s July selloff.
Harvard made a huge $2.2 billion investment in SpaceX, signaling confidence in Elon Musk’s rocket company.
Investors are growing more cautious as risk to assets rises, while bullish views remain on AI, productivity, and selected energy, tech, and treasury themes.

Hong Kong stocks closed little changed as the Hang Seng Index rose 17 points to 25,471, with Alibaba jumping over 3% to offset weakness in the tech gauge.

Market recap: Hong Kong stocks ended slightly higher, with the Hang Seng Index up 17 points, led by Alibaba’s more than 3% gain; several shipping and biotech names hit record highs on active turnover.
BOC Hong Kong deal: BOC Hong Kong helped Export Development Canada issue its first RMB 3 billion “dim sum” bond, highlighting ongoing cross-border RMB financing activity.
Baidu earnings: Baidu’s second-quarter non-GAAP net profit fell 46.3% to RMB 2.573 billion, sending its U.S.-listed shares down more than 4% before the open.
Mixed corporate results: Weimob reported a larger first-half loss of RMB 157 million, while Fuyao Glass posted a 17.37% drop in first-half net profit to RMB 3.97 billion but raised its interim dividend to RMB 1 per share.
Telecom and healthcare: China Unicom’s first-half net profit fell 34.6%, though its computing-power revenue rose 13%, while Ping An Health’s adjusted first-half profit increased 37.7% to RMB 227 million.
EV and autonomy: Pony.ai widened its second-quarter loss to US$59.844 million, but autonomous ride-hailing revenue surged 6.9 times, lifting its premarket share price by 2.3%.
Policy support: China’s State Council said housing provident funds used for rent payments will no longer be subject to an income-rent ratio threshold, easing rental access for households.
Economic and demographic data: Hong Kong’s mid-year population reached 7.5183 million, up 19,400 year on year, while mainland China’s latest data showed steady overall economic performance with growing contributions from new, smart, and green industries.
Key sector trends: A-shares saw strong interest in robots, chips, photovoltaics, brain-computer interfaces, and new-energy supply chains, while polysilicon prices rebounded and market sentiment toward tech and “hard innovation” improved.
Broader macro outlook: China is accelerating oil-and-gas infrastructure planning, rolling out more policy-finance support, and continuing housing-market stabilization efforts, while U.S. interest rates may stay elevated longer as inflation remains sticky.

Tokyo stocks fell sharply, with the Nikkei dropping over 1,100 points at the morning close as investors sold amid mounting concerns over Middle East tensions.

What changes when stablecoins become widespread as the next-generation financial infrastructure?
The Tokyo Stock Exchange fell for the sixth trading day in a row, closing down 1,759 yen amid concern over the outlook in the Middle East and briefly dropping below 68,000 yen.
Sweden, a highly cashless country, is requiring businesses to accept cash payments to prepare for possible Russian attacks and strengthen society.
The Tokyo market was down 1,121.71 yen at the noon close, ending at 68,098.54 yen.
Tokyo stocks were under selling pressure at one point, falling more than 800 yen in morning trading to 68,584.15 yen as investors reacted to Middle East tensions.
The market turned lower again, briefly dropping more than 600 yen and slipping below 69,000 yen because of worries about the future course of the Middle East situation.
Japan’s long-term interest rate rose to 2.945%, the highest level in 29 years and 10 months, bringing the 3% milestone into view.
The Tokyo foreign exchange market opened with the yen in the 159-yen range, and by 9 a.m. the dollar was 38 sen stronger against the yen than the previous day.
European stock markets fell as investors grew more risk-averse amid rising U.S.-Iran tensions, leading to broad selling.
Other major domestic news included the doubling of the Naniwa-suji Line project cost, Shionogi’s move toward abolishing the mandatory retirement age, and several transportation, retail, and fisheries developments.

Bitcoin held around $64,000 as rising bond yields and weaker risk appetite pressured the broader crypto market, even as some traders warned leveraged bulls could be forced into selling.

Bitcoin is hovering around the $64,000 level while rising bond yields and higher oil prices are pressuring overall market risk appetite.
The cryptocurrency has managed occasional strength, at times outperforming the S&P 500 even as traditional stocks decline.
Analysts are watching key Bitcoin price levels, with $65,000 seen as a potential breakout target and lower levels vulnerable to leveraged liquidations.
Broader market conditions remain fragile, and the widening “crack” in energy markets may be adding stress to Bitcoin and other risk assets.
Regulatory pressure is increasing internationally, with South Korea joining more than 30 jurisdictions in restricting access to Polymarket.
Altcoins are showing mixed performance, as XRP has fallen below $1 while some adoption news, such as Ripple Payments use by a Korean bank, offers support.
DeFi sentiment is cautious because uncertainty around the Clarity Act is delaying bigger market bets and limiting enthusiasm.
Large traders and institutions remain active, with reports of major positions in XRP-related products and warnings about Bitcoin leverage risk from strategy-focused firms.
Several projects and firms are drawing attention for strategic moves, including Monad’s investor cash-out offer and Kraken parent Payward’s AI security collaboration with Anthropic.
Overall, the market narrative is one of mixed crypto resilience, but with macro pressure, regulatory headwinds, and leverage risks all threatening near-term upside.

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