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Kalshi traders see 54% odds of a rate hike in 2026 as Fed is split on policy, marking the most critical market-moving event for the U.S. economy in the coming year.

Gold posted its worst quarter since 2013, challenging its traditional role as a reliable economic hedge.
Wells Fargo analysts predict a specific solar stock could surge by 80% in the near future.
Kalshi traders are betting on 54% odds of a federal interest rate hike in 2026 amid a split Fed policy.
Regional bank stocks are rallying, with market charts highlighting one standout name in the sector.
SK Hynix's ADR listing is scheduled for Friday, a move that could significantly impact U.S. memory stock valuations.
Donald Trump's proposed 25% tariff on every Nvidia chip sold to China has backfired, potentially costing Nvidia up to $30 billion.
BofA analysts have set a new price target for SpaceX stock following increased market speculation.
Elon Musk will pay a $1.5 million settlement regarding his Twitter acquisition, a figure the judge criticized as insufficient.
Charles Payne notes that the AI trade has made it "rough sledding" for active fund managers, while general market sentiment remains optimistic.
Donald Trump's approval rating has hit record lows across two recent polls, adding to political market volatility.

As the most significant event, UBS cut its target price for China Life Insurance Aviation Leasing to HK$104.2 while reaffirming a "Buy" rating, reflecting major institutional adjustments in the Hong Kong market.

Industrial Fulian (FII) Reports Massive AI Profit Surge: The company forecasted 2026 H1 net profit of 23.4–24.4 billion yuan, a 93–101% year-over-year increase, driven by unprecedented demand for AI computing infrastructure.
A Semiconductor & HVAC Performance Boom: Over 87% of 223 A-share companies disclosing H1 2026 performance results posted profit growth, with chemical, hardware, and semiconductor sectors leading the surge.
Wallace (Wush) Preps Long-Beaming Profit Surge: Following two consecutive limit-up days, the stock hit a 200% gain, with Northbound funds (Shenzhen Stock Connect) net buying 789 million yuan on July 9 after earlier selling.
New "Fifteen-Five" Carbon Peak Action Plan Issued: The Chinese State Council set a target to reduce CO2 emissions per GDP by 17% by 2030 (vs. 2025) and increase non-fossil energy consumption to 25%, establishing a National Low-Carbon Transition Fund.
China's EV Exports Hit Record Milestone: June 2026 car exports reached 1.037 million units (up 75.1% YoY), with EVs accounting for 523,000 units (up 160% YoY), surpassing traditional fuel cars for the first time.
Changxin Technology (CKIC) IPO Launches: The largest IPO in the Shanghai Stock Exchange STAR Market since 2026 is set for subscription on July 16, aiming to raise 29.5 billion yuan to boost domestic DRAM production.
Regulatory Shift on AI "Human-like" Interaction: Major tech firms (Doubao, Qianwen, NetEase) are downscaling AI companion features to comply with the upcoming "AI Human-like Interaction Service Management Measures" effective July 15.
Changxin Technology IPO Sparks Chip Rally: The prospect of the 29.5 billion yuan IPO triggered an 8% surge in the semiconductor index and a strong rise in the memory index, with Zhaoyi Innovation also reporting a massive profit pre-increase.
Federal Reserve Ends "Forward Guidance": Fed Chair Wush confirmed the US will stop providing forward guidance, signaling a shift to a "data-driven" monetary policy era, while the ECB and UK Bank also express similar attitudes.
HK Market Volatility & Tech Sector Rebound: The Hang Seng Index rose 144 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index initially dipped 9 points before reversing; Xiaomi Group surged over 3%, and Bidu (ByteDance) and Tech sectors showed mixed performance.

Industrial Fulian (FII) Reports Massive AI Profit Surge: The company forecasted 2026 H1 net profit of 23.4–24.4 billion yuan, a 93–101% year-over-year increase, driven by unprecedented demand for AI computing infrastructure.
A-Share Performance Boom: Over 87% of 223 A-share companies disclosing H1 2026 performance results posted profit growth, with chemical, hardware, and semiconductor sectors leading the surge.
Wallcom (Wush) Preps Long-Beaming Profit Surge: Following two consecutive limit-up days, the stock hit a 200% gain, with Northbound funds (Shenzhen Stock Connect) net buying 789 million yuan on July 9 after earlier selling.
New "Fifteen-Five" Carbon Peak Action Plan Issued: The Chinese State Council set a target to reduce CO2 emissions per GDP by 17% by 2030 (vs. 2025) and increase non-fossil energy consumption to 25%, establishing a National Low-Carbon Transition Fund.
China's EV Exports Hit Record Milestone: June 2026 car exports reached 1.037 million units (up 75.1% YoY), with EVs accounting for 523,000 units (up 160% YoY), surpassing traditional fuel cars for the first time.
Changxin Technology (CKIC) IPO Launches: The largest IPO in the Shanghai Stock Exchange STAR Market since 2026 is set for subscription on July 16, aiming to raise 29.5 billion yuan to boost domestic DRAM production.
Regulatory Shift on AI "Human-like" Interaction: Major tech firms (Doubao, Qianwen, NetEase) are downscaling AI companion features to comply with the upcoming "AI Human-like Interaction Service Management Measures" effective July 15.
Changxin Technology IPO Sparks Chip Rally: The prospect of the 29.5 billion yuan IPO triggered an 8% surge in the semiconductor index and a strong rise in the memory index, with Zhaoyi Innovation also reporting a massive profit pre-increase.
Federal Reserve Ends "Forward Guidance": Fed Chair Wush confirmed the US will stop providing forward guidance, signaling a shift to a "data-driven" monetary policy era, while the ECB and UK Bank also express similar attitudes.
Baijiu Giant Wuliangye 10 Billion Yuan Dividend: Wuliangye announced a 10 billion yuan cash dividend for 2025, one of the largest payouts in the sector, signaling strong corporate cash flow despite market volatility.

The most significant event in the Japanese market for 2025 is that local tax revenue first reached the 50 trillion yen level, increasing for five consecutive years driven by strong corporate performance.

Local tax revenue reached a record 50 trillion yen for the first time, driven by a 5-year consecutive increase in corporate performance in the 2025 fiscal year.
The bankruptcy of Zen-To-Shin (All-To-Shin) has caused difficulties in collecting receivables from individual businesses, prompting government support for small business financing and relaxed lending requirements.
Futokoku Life Insurance President Takeshi Watanabe expressed confidence in asset management and individual sales, stating the company is poised for growth.
Corporate prices rose 7.1% in July due to Middle East conflicts, with significant value increases in oil and chemical products.
The creditor list of bankrupt Zen-To-Shin was identified, comprising 63 companies, with banks accounting for half and Kinki Sangyo Shinyaku as the largest creditor.
NY stocks rebounded with a 139-dollar rise, driven by robust US labor market data and a receding of excessive economic concerns.
Summer vacation budgets decreased for the first time in 5 years to 85,000 yen, with over 40% of people choosing not to travel due to prolonged high prices and a saving mindset.
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries is producing Patriot systems at a "very high level," with Zelenskyy expressing interest in cooperation, while VW considers halving vehicle models and cutting 100,000 jobs for reconstruction.
The government has decided on a revised plan to promote industry-specific AI across 19 fields, including manufacturing, finance, education, and defense.
Geographical Indications (GI) were designated for Japanese tea, Hamana Lake Eel, and Kagawa Renkon to protect them as regional brands, alongside Sukiyak's introduction of "Shakes" in beef rice and pizza chains.

Despite regulatory headwinds headwounds headwounds as Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Hold Firm, the crypto market faces regulatory headwinds headwinds headwinds headwinds as Bitcoin tops $64,000 as selling pressure on Coinbase eases

Bitcoin trades near $64,000–$64,000 as selling pressure on Coinbase eases and the chip rally and yen strength drive gains higher.
Bitcoin enters its third-longest consolidation in history, hovering in the $60,000–$70,000 range while remaining strong in USD but lagging in JPY due to yen intervention fears.
Metaplanet explores launching bitcoin-backed digital credit services in Japan, signaling growing institutional adoption of crypto-backed finance.
XRP rises 2% as buyers push through the $1.10 resistance level, with fresh developments in the XRP ruling delivering a potential breakthrough.
New Hampshire rejects a trailblazing state-government bitcoin bond initiative, highlighting ongoing political and regulatory hesitancy toward public crypto projects.
Grayscale's CFO exits after a 7-year tenure with the crypto asset manager, while Coinbase's top legal exec Grewal moves on amid SEC-related transitions.
Circular faces a criminal complaint putting the USDC freeze policy under a microscope, raising concerns about stablecoin regulatory frameworks.
AscendEX collapses amid a MiCA deadline, failed financing, and empty hot wallets, illustrating vulnerabilities in crypto exchange operations under new regulations.
CASHCAT surges from $86 to $2 million, with analysts calling it a potentially life-changing crypto investment opportunity.
Ethereum and Bitcoin prices hold firm as regulation overtakes geopolitics, with an overlooked "BTC gold ratio" flashing an unexpected bullish signal.

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